Poland's ruling PiS likely to win 2nd term, may lose upper house
Updated 22:30, 14-Oct-2019
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Jaroslaw Kaczynski, leader of Poland's ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party, reacts after the first exit polls during the party's electoral evening in Warsaw, Poland, October 13, 2019. /VCG Photo

Jaroslaw Kaczynski, leader of Poland's ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party, reacts after the first exit polls during the party's electoral evening in Warsaw, Poland, October 13, 2019. /VCG Photo

Poland's nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) party looked to have narrowly won a second term in power, according to preliminary results from Sunday's parliamentary election, but fell short of the landslide victory it needs to overhaul the constitution. 

In a surprise setback for the socially conservative but economically left-leaning party, PiS also appeared to have lost control of the less powerful upper house, the Senate, according to one of the opposition leaders, Katarzyna Lubnauer. 

Final official results were not due until late on Monday, but the apparent reversal of fortunes for PiS – after initial partial results that pointed to it winning a clear majority – reflected the complexity of Poland's electoral system. 

Preliminary results with 99.5 percent of votes counted showed PiS winning 43.8 percent of votes, up from the 37.6 percent it won in 2015. But some analysts said this could yet translate into fewer than the 231 seats it would need for a majority in the Sejm lower house, an outcome that would force it to seek coalition allies. 

A supporter attends a Law and Justice (PiS) election meeting in Stalowa Wola, Poland, August 18, 2019. /Reuters Photo

A supporter attends a Law and Justice (PiS) election meeting in Stalowa Wola, Poland, August 18, 2019. /Reuters Photo

PiS, which fought the election with pledges to defend patriotic and Catholic values and further increase welfare spending, had been hoping for a two thirds majority of seats in the Sejm that would have allowed it to reshape the constitution. 

Sources from both PiS and the main opposition grouping, the centrist Civic Coalition, agreed that the result for the Sejm was a close call. 

"Senate won back. Thanks to the agreement of opposition parties, the opposition will have the majority in the Senate," Lubnauer wrote on Twitter. 

If her tweet is confirmed, the opposition would be able to block or delay the adoption of legislation proposed by PiS and would also have a say on nominations to some of Poland's highest institutions such as the civil rights ombudsman.

Poland's President Andrzej Duda (R) and his wife Agata Kornhauser-Duda cast their votes during parliamentary election at a polling station in Krakow, Poland, October 13, 2019. /VCG Photo

Poland's President Andrzej Duda (R) and his wife Agata Kornhauser-Duda cast their votes during parliamentary election at a polling station in Krakow, Poland, October 13, 2019. /VCG Photo

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A parliamentary election, a divided Poland

Overall, Sunday's results highlighted increased political polarization in Poland under PiS rule, with the liberal opposition scoring sweeping victories in some large cities. 

In a further sign of deepening divisions, a group of far-right politicians and activists, the Confederation, won seats in parliament for the first time, securing 6.8 percent of the vote, just above the five percent threshold needed to enter the legislature.

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Source(s): Reuters