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UK jobs leap as economy bounces back, pay jumps too
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The Canary Wharf business district amid the COVID-19 outbreak, in London, UK, September 22, 2020. /Reuters

The Canary Wharf business district amid the COVID-19 outbreak, in London, UK, September 22, 2020. /Reuters

The number of employees on British company payrolls surged in June by the most since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, according to data which painted a picture of a roaring jobs market and growing inflationary pressure from rising wages.

A day after a top Bank of England (BoE) official said the time for the BoE to think about taking action on inflation might be approaching sooner than he had expected, tax data showed a 356,000-leap in employment in June from May.

The increase was driven by 94,000 more accommodation and food jobs, which were hit by lockdowns that have now been largely lifted, and a 72,000 rise in jobs in administration and support services, including temporary staff at recruitment agencies.

The headline unemployment rate for the three months to May stood at 4.8 percent, the Office for National Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had mostly expected it to hold at 4.7 percent seen in the three months to April.

But the ONS said the population estimates used to calculate the unemployment rate had changed and the figure for the three months to April would have been 4.8 percent under the new system.

Britain's labor market has been propped up by finance minister Rishi Sunak's job subsidies which paid the wages on 8.9 million jobs at its peak in May 2020, during the first COVID-19 lockdown, and supported 2.4 million jobs at the end of May 2021.

The scheme is being phased out by the end of September which could push unemployment back up.

"We anticipate the unemployment rate to rise to around 5.5 percent in winter this year as the furlough scheme ends, with around one in 10 furloughed workers potentially unable to return to their original job," Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, said.

Record growth in pay and vacancies

Thursday's figures showed the fastest headline wage growth in the year to May since records began in 2000, although the comparisons have been skewed by greater job losses among low-paid workers and comparison with depressed wages a year ago.

Average weekly earnings in the three months to the end of May rose by 7.3 percent compared with a year earlier.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimated underlying wage growth, excluding distortions caused by the pandemic, was between 3.9 percent and 5.1 percent for average weekly earnings. For average earnings excluding bonuses it was between 3.2 percent and 4.4 percent .

The pick-up in hiring and in pay added to signs of how fast Britain's economy is bouncing back from its nearly 10 percent crash last year when it was hit by one of the world's heaviest COVID death tolls and long lockdowns.

The number of job vacancies in the three months to June rose by 241,000 to 862,000, the biggest quarterly increase since records began in 2001 and just short of the record-high total number of vacancies seen in late 2018.

BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said on Wednesday that the conditions set by the central bank for any tightening of monetary policy might be approaching.

Source(s): Reuters

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