The worst drought and heatwave that Europe is experiencing might just be an "average" in less than a decade, according to a climate analysis published on Thursday.

The analysis, commissioned by the Climate Crisis Advisory Group (CCAG) using data from the UK's Met Office Hadley Centre, looks at how quickly temperatures changed across the region since 1850 and compares them against model predictions.

"The record-breaking heatwave experienced across Europe this summer will be considered an 'average' summer by 2035, even if countries meet their current climate commitments so far agreed in negotiations under the 2015 Paris Agreement," CCAG's release said.

It found that an average summer in central Europe by 2100 will be over 4 degrees Celsius hotter than it was in the pre-industrial era, and scientists believe that the extreme weather currently swiping across the world "is at least in large part a consequence of human-induced climate change," according to CCAG Chair David King.

"This serves as an urgent reminder of the need for countries to go well beyond their nationally determined contributions so far pledged under the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to under 1.5 degrees Celsius if at all possible," the release said.

Europe is experiencing its worst drought in at least 500 years, with almost two-thirds of the continent in a state of alert or warning. The historic drought is propelling what experts predict to be a record year of wildfire destruction. Rivers across the continent are drying up, threatening cargo shipment.

The UK set an all-time national temperature record in July after it exceeded 40 degrees Celsius for the first time. 

"In the aftermath of the 2003 European heatwave, which is estimated to have killed over 70,000 people, I predicted that such temperatures, so exceptional at the time, would become the norm under continued emissions. That prediction has now been realized," said Peter Stott from the Met Office Hadley Centre. "The risks of extreme weather, including fires, drought and flash floods, will keep increasing rapidly unless emissions of greenhouse gases are reduced substantially."

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Graphics: 2022's extreme heat may be the new norm