Editor's note: Sergey Sanakoev is the president of the Asia-Pacific Region Research Center, head of the Russian-Chinese Analytical Center, and member of the Russian International Affairs Council. The article reflects the author's opinion, and not necessarily the views of CGTN.
Due to the rapid change of the contemporary world's pattern, more and more people in the world are trying to understand the reasons for the destruction of the existing world order and predict the actions of the main countries-players, trying to see the contours of the future geopolitical configuration.
Will China and Russia unite their efforts against the US sanctions policy? Will such countries as Iran and Turkey join them? How will the European Old World behave and with whom, finally, is India? Experts of different colors compete in phantasmagoric scenarios and predict the most incredible layouts.
Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a ceremony to sign joint documents following Russian-Chinese talks on the sidelines of the 2018 Eastern Economic Forum. /VCG Photo.
Yes, this is the modern world. And many today will agree that the reasons for what is happening lie in the domestic political events of the United States. Some more specifically will call US President Donald Trump the culprit, diverging only in the estimates of his personality – from complete insanity to genius.
And only a few will offer a more attentive, deep and, if you want, historically scientific view of the modern development of human society.
The current world order is the result of a misconception about the victory in the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, which unfolded after the Second World War.
Signs of such a "victory" are the world hegemony of one political center and the established monopoly of the US as the main currency of payment and the basis of the world financial system, which can rightly be called the Bretton Woods.
US President Donald Trump (L) and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a joint news conference after their meeting in Helsinki, July 16, 2018. /VCG Photo.
But, the main reason for "blinding" victory was the collapse of the Soviet Union. And if earlier the United States in its globalism argued its actions and the actions of its Western allies the need to protect "democratic values," after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the West no longer bothers to explain their actions and increasingly the only argument in the negotiations put forward force, not so much in the economic sense, as in the military-political.
However, at the end of the last century, something happened that was unexpected for globalists. The flag of progress and justice from the ruins of the USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics) was picked up by Chinese comrades and led hundreds of millions. China has rapidly entered the club of world leaders and is now on the heels of "power No. 1."
And if in the 1970s, the US strongly contributed to the development of China, only with the strengthening of the confrontation between China and the USSR, which existed at the time, now the United States does not hide that they see China as the main rival.
Could it be otherwise? Hardly. I dare to say that the coming to power in the United States of such a politician as Donald Trump, as well as the entire political situation in the US, is a natural consequence of the development of world imperialism.
US President Donald Trump (L) and DPRK leader Kim Jong Un walk after lunch at the Capella Hotel on Sentosa island in Singapore, June 12, 2018. /VCG Photo.
Sanctions have become an indispensable tool in the hands of globalists against their opponents. Sanctions were imposed at different times against the Soviet Union, against the China, against the DPRK and Iran, against Russia, etc.
If we recall the formal reasons for the announcement of sanctions, we can say that sanctions have never achieved the goals for which they were imposed.
At the same time, it is this unfair way that the West solves the problems of competition. And this is against the backdrop of a serious crisis of the existing world economic institutions: the WTO, the IMF, the WB, and the entire "Bretton Woods" world financial system.
It is not surprising that Western countries cannot create new integration processes – the TPP has failed miserably, and the TAIP does not stick together. Perhaps this is because these partnerships are closed to countries such as China and Russia?
But the processes initiated by these countries are becoming increasingly important in the world. By the way, the population of the countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization today exceeds half of humanity. BRICS summits are also becoming more pragmatic. In Shanghai, the "The New BRICS development Bank" was founded, which together with the AIIB has already been called an alternative to the World Bank.
And since 2015, comprehensive and systematic work has been carried out to link the most important foreign economic initiatives of China and Russia – the construction of the EAEU (Eurasian Economic Union) and the Belt and Road Initiative. This work among experts of these two countries has already been called "integration of integrations."
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan gestures as he addresses the audience during an event held to mark the 947th anniversary of The Battle of Malazgirt (1071 Manzikert War) in the Ahlat district of Bitlis, Turkey, August 26, 2018. /VCG Photo.
An important characteristic of the creation of these new institutions is their openness. And this fundamentally distinguishes the new norms of the world order from the outdated model of globalism in the Western scenario.
So what about the sanctions? Is it worth being afraid of them. There is no denying the damage they will do to our economies. However, it is already quite obvious that each subsequent act of trade war unleashed by the United States is increasingly hitting the current structure of the world order, and leads to isolation of the West.
And if the previous trade wars ended in the search for compromises taking into account the strength of the hegemony, now the balance of power is such that they have to reckon with the realities of the growing multipolar world.
In conclusion, I would like to emphasize once again that most countries in the world, led by China, Russia, India, Iran, Turkey and others, see the future not in the victory over the West, but in the fair win-win cooperation of various world centers. And this goal itself determines the preferred scenario for the future of the world order.