British experts predict May could be out of power this autumn
POLITICS
By Zhang Ruijun

2017-06-20 21:05 GMT+8

By CGTN’s Wang Duan

It's been a turbulent time in the UK, a period in which people wish it had just been a bad dream. A “preventable fire” leaving at least 79 people dead or missing presumed dead as of June 19, a ‘terrible incident’ killed one, and injured eight as a van struck a crowd of pedestrians near a north London mosque have rocked the capital. 

It’s London’s third terror attack involving a vehicle driving into pedestrians in just three months. The city is grief-stricken as disasters made by man and nature claim the lives of loved ones. With investigations into both incidents underway, we ask: what would it mean for the UK government, especially for the future of its Prime Minister, Theresa May? 

Mike Finn, Deputy Head of the School for Cross Faculty Studies at the University of Warwick/ CGTN Photo

Mike Finn, Deputy Head of the School for Cross Faculty Studies at the University of Warwick told 'The Point with LIU Xin' (@thepointwithlx) that the incidents have had a significant effect on Theresa May. She was criticized for not meeting the Grenfell Tower residents while Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn showed up quickly to offer comfort to the residents. 

In contrast, her response to the Grenfell tower blaze was criticized as ‘cold and distant’. May also called for yet another emergency meeting after the Finsbury Park van attack. Finn didn’t buy into the theory. He said “an enormous amount in the last six or seven weeks has undermined any sense that she is a leader, frankly”. 

Thom Brooks, Dean of the Durham Law School at Durham University said the main problem that May had at the moment was that she was still in her ill-judged campaign mood. He pointed out that, “no Prime Minister can promise that no attack can happen on people, but without doubt there is a real division in the country.” 

Brooks predicted a possible time when May would leave the power. “I suspect it will be before the end of the year. I think she should be lucky to make it to the party conference this autumn.” 

The host of the program, Liu Xin, said, “the fallout from the incidents this past week, in which 79 are presumed dead after the fire in west London, and the fourth terrorist attack in the UK this year, could be much greater than at first appeared." 

"With the personal attacks on May having been stepped up - rightly or wrongly, it doesn't really matter - then politicians from other parties such as the DUP are less likely to want to form an alliance with a weak prime minister, while if the Conservative Party is finally forced into going to the country for yet another election, that is bound to affect the Brexit negotiations - especially if there is a change of party in power." Liu added. 

"This is turning out to be not just an 'annus horribilis’ for the Conservative Party, but a challenging time for the UK as a whole. What is clear is that there is likely to be a lot more fall out from these seemingly unrelated incidents.” 

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