By 2040, a hundred people will live on the Moon, melting ice for water, 3D-printing homes and tools, eating plants grown in lunar soil, and competing in low-gravity, "flying" sports.
To those who mock such talk as science fiction, experts such as Bernard Foing, ambassador of the European Space Agency-driven "Moon Village" scheme, reply the goal is not only reasonable but feasible too.
At a European Planetary Science Congress in Riga this week, Foing spelt out how humanity could gain a permanent foothold on Earth's satellite, and then expand.
By 2030, there could be an initial lunar settlement of six to 10 pioneers – scientists, technicians and engineers – which could grow to 100 by 2040, he predicted.
A 3D concept picture /Ddezeen Photo
A 3D concept picture /Ddezeen Photo
"In 2050, you could have a thousand and then... naturally you could envisage to have family" joining crews there, Foing said.
Mere decades from now, "there may be the possibility to have children born on the Moon," he enthused.
ESA boss Jan Woerner has mooted replacing the orbiting International Space Station (ISS) with a permanent lunar colony, a futuristic idea that was high on the agenda at this week's expert meeting in the Latvian capital.
Building a market
The ISS is due to be decommissioned in 2024. Forty years after humankind set foot on Earth's satellite as a result of that fierce contest of one-upmanship, Woerner has proposed a village on the long-abandoned Moon as the next phase in space teamwork.
Scientists and commercial prospectors are keen on the concept, but politicians have yet to bite – a reluctance that, for now, cripples the idea.
A process called Contour Crafting allows computer-controlled machines to build houses within 24 hours. /DailyMail Photo
A process called Contour Crafting allows computer-controlled machines to build houses within 24 hours. /DailyMail Photo
"It is highly frustrating... We still don't have the top leaders interested," said physicist Vidvuds Beldavs of the University of Latvia, who runs a project called the International Lunar Decade, advocating joint exploration of the Moon.
"To demonstrate that industrial activity on the Moon is feasible, that... large markets can emerge."
Potential Moon resources include basalt, a volcanic rock Beldavs said could be used as a raw material for 3D-printing satellites to be deployed from the Moon at a fraction of the cost of a launch from high-gravity Earth.
There is also helium-3, a rare isotope on our planet but common on the Moon, that could theoretically be used to generate cleaner, safer nuclear energy for Earth. The main target is water, locked up in ice on the Moon's poles.
3D habitat team Mars Ice House /NASA Photo
3D habitat team Mars Ice House /NASA Photo
Water can be separated into hydrogen and oxygen, two gases which explode when mixed–providing rocket fuel.
"To go into Earth orbit... it is 40 times cheaper to go from the Moon than from the Earth, because the Earth has such high gravity that you have to fight against it," explained Foing.
'Tough' life
Experts argue that the future lies in collaboration between increasingly cash-strapped national space agencies and the private sector, which can profit from selling resources such as Moon-derived rocket fuel.
Robotic exploration is already underway, with several Moon landers and rovers planned for the coming years.
Scientists reveal concept for 3D-printed Mars habitat built by robots. /Dezeen Photo
Scientists reveal concept for 3D-printed Mars habitat built by robots. /Dezeen Photo
But for those who think the Moon offers an escape from an Earth threatened by climate change and nuclear war, physicist Christiane Heinicke warns it is a "tough" life, and not for everyone. She had spent a year in a mock Mars environment in Hawaii.
"It is completely devoid of any vegetation, all they see is rocks, regolith (loose rocks and dust), and a sky that is different from ours on Earth."
Another problem: "You can never escape your crewmates," she said.
But Foing, who himself spent some time in one of the many earthly modules preparing aspirant Moon or Mars explorers, is undeterred. He hopes to visit the village by 2040.
Concept picture from Foster+Partners /Dezeen Photo
Concept picture from Foster+Partners /Dezeen Photo
As for his family, "that will depend on the price... The price of the ticket is in the order of 100 million euros. That's now, but in 20 years, the price of the ticket could be 100 times less."
This will depend largely on advances made by commercial Moon explorers developing new technologies, boosting demand for lunar resources, or tourism, and driving prices down.
Source(s): AFP