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2025.09.30 23:18 GMT+8

Trump's 20-point Gaza plan draws skepticism for sidelining two-state solution

Updated 2025.10.01 08:41 GMT+8
CGTN

U.S. President Donald Trump greets Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as he arrives at the West Wing of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., September 29, 2025. /VCG

U.S. President Donald Trump revealed a 20-point proposal alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, calling it a step toward lasting peace in Gaza. Still, doubts remain about whether the plan can make real progress.

Multiple media reports indicated that the plan is unbalanced and missing many crucial details, which raises doubts about whether it can make meaningful progress in ending the ongoing Israel-Gaza conflict.

For example, the plan stated that within 72 hours of Israel publicly accepting the proposal, all hostages, whether alive or dead, would be returned, while Hamas is still considering the plan. Therefore, time is running out for Hamas.

The Conversation reported that Trump's plan not only favors Israel more than it does Hamas, but also remains extremely vague in its implementation strategy, questioning which countries would participate in the "International Stabilization Force" and who else would be part of the civil authority overseeing the reconstruction of Gaza, besides Trump and former British Prime Minister Tony Blair.

Similarly, The New York Times observed that many Palestinians will likely see such a distant and vague prospect of independence as insufficient, while acknowledging that it represents a "symbolic commitment."

Steven Sahouni, an analyst based in Latakia, Syria, told CGTN that Trump's plan has both positive and negative outcomes.

The positive side is that the Palestinian people will be free from the killing and suffering they are experiencing now, said Sahouni, while noting it didn't lead to a two-state solution that guarantees Palestinians' right to have their country and govern their own land.

Sahouni added that Palestinians will not be in charge of or controlling their land; instead, others such as Arabs and Westerners will.

Acknowledging the plan could end the ongoing fighting between Israel and Hamas, provide much-needed humanitarian aid, and assure that Israel will not occupy or annex Gaza, Ding Long, a professor at the Middle East Studies Institute at Shanghai International Studies University, said that overall, it is an unequal agreement for Hamas and Palestine.

Politically, Gaza will be governed by a non-political interim authority in the future, and Hamas will have no opportunity to participate in a political role in Gaza. Additionally, Netanyahu sought to exclude the possibility of the Palestinian national authority getting involved in Gaza's reconstruction governance, Ding said.

Smoke rises following an Israeli army bombardment in the Gaza Strip, September 30, 2025. /VCG

Furthermore, the plan indicates that Gaza's sovereignty will no longer be fully intact, as the post-war transitional governance of Gaza will be handed over to international institutions, Ding said. He added that although the plan mentions establishing a Palestinian state, it does not specify the form of the state's establishment or address the widely-accepted "two-state solution."

Regarding the 72 hours left for Hamas to decide, Ding said Hamas might compromise and seek a quick break to preserve its remaining strength as Israel intensifies its military operations in Gaza City, putting the remaining Hamas strongholds in Gaza at risk.

Ding mentioned that Hamas might also request revisions to some of the terms.

No matter whether the plan is changed, once it is put into effect, it will be a major setback for the "two-state solution" and also a significant setback for the peace process between Palestine and Israel, Ding said.

Ding further explained that since the various political forces of Palestine may not be able to play any role in the future of Gaza, it will damage Gaza's autonomous status and also make the goal of establishing a Palestinian state even more distant.

Read more: China says it supports all efforts conducive to easing Palestinian-Israeli tension

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